The next battle for the Democratic Party

Colorado usually is not the center of national political attention anymore, but primary day has put the state back in the spotlight. Seth Masket joins Eventual to unpack two high-attention Democratic contests: Diana DeGette's primary challenge in Denver and Michael Bennet's run for governor against Phil Weiser. The conversation looks at why prediction markets are skeptical of the incumbents, why polling is so thin, and what early ballot returns can and cannot tell us. Masket explains why Colorado's shift from swing state to reliably blue state has made Democratic primaries the more meaningful arena for governance. A major theme is anti-establishment energy inside the Democratic Party. Some voters are not necessarily demanding a different policy platform; they are demanding a different posture toward Trump and national politics. 

The episode also explores whether the rise of DSA-style and populist Democratic campaigns means class politics is becoming a more central frame in the party. Co-host Brian Golden also joins to talk about the latest news from Iran and why markets are being cautious reacting, as well as who the top predictors this week were worldwide. Key topics: Colorado primary day Diana DeGette vs. Melat Kiros and Wanda James Michael Bennet vs. Phil Weiser Prediction markets and lightly polled races Why unaffiliated voters may choose Democratic primaries Anti-establishment energy inside the Democratic Party Trump as the organizing issue for both parties Populism, class politics, and the future of Democratic coalitions.

The authors may hold positions in prediction markets related to topics discussed in this article. Positions may change at any time without notice. The views expressed in this article represent the author’s analysis and opinion and are provided for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as investment advice, trading advice, or a recommendation to enter into any transaction.