Domer & Alex Keeney breaks down the latest in politics, prediction markets, and election odds — from Graham Platner dropping out in Maine to Nigel Farage facing Count Binface in the world’s dumbest by-election.
Then David DesRosiers, publisher of RealClearPolitics and host of Get Real, joins Eventual to talk about polling, Polymarket, prediction markets, political science, the future of election forecasting, the 2026 midterms, Democratic Socialists in primaries, big-city politics, gender polarization, and what Republicans and Democrats can learn from each other.
Topics include:
Graham Platner drops out of the Maine Senate race
Maine Democrats scramble to pick a replacement nominee
Troy Jackson, Shenna Bellows, Nirav Shah, Jordan Wood, and Dan Kleban
Maine Senate election odds and 2026 Senate control
Nigel Farage, Reform UK, and Count Binface
The UK’s strangest by-election
RealClearPolitics adding Polymarket odds
Polling averages vs. prediction markets
Why prediction markets matter for political analysis
The future of election forecasting after 538
House and Senate control markets
DSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries
Urban decline, migration, and big-city politics
Young men, gender polarization, and the Trump coalition
What the GOP and Democrats can learn from each other
Guest:
David DesRosiers — Publisher, RealClearPolitics
Sponsored segment:
Includes a Polymarket ad read.
Disclaimer:
Eventual is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this stream should be understood as financial, legal, investment, gambling, or trading advice. Guests, hosts, and viewers may hold positions in prediction markets and may change those positions at any time. Nothing here is an endorsement to buy, sell, or trade any market. Trade safe and follow all applicable laws and platform rules in your jurisdiction.
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The authors may hold positions in prediction markets related to topics discussed in this article. Positions may change at any time without notice. The views expressed in this article represent the author’s analysis and opinion and are provided for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as investment advice, trading advice, or a recommendation to enter into any transaction.
