Today on the show: World Cup diplomacy gets weird, Trump looks past Canada and Mexico, Michigan Democrats spiral into a brutal Senate primary, Maine picks its Graham Platner replacement, and Chinese AI sends traders hunting for signal. Alex Keeney and Brian Golden break down the latest prediction market action across politics, AI, trade, Congress, and the 2026 midterms — including USMCA extension odds, Michigan Senate primary markets, Maine Senate fallout, and Troy Jackson’s rise.
Then Peter Wildeford, head of policy at the AI Policy Network and a longtime prediction market forecaster, joins Eventual for a deep dive on Chinese AI, Moonshot’s Kimi 3, whether the AI bubble is at risk, what Washington actually understands about artificial intelligence, and why data centers are becoming one of the next major fronts in American politics.
Guest: Peter Wildeford — Head of Policy, AI Policy Network Follow Peter Wildeford: X: @PeterWildeford Substack: blog.peterwildeford.com
Hosted by: Alex Keeney & Brian Golden
For more prediction market news and analysis, visit eventual.news.
The authors may hold positions in prediction markets related to topics discussed in this article. Positions may change at any time without notice. The views expressed in this article represent the author’s analysis and opinion and are provided for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as investment advice, trading advice, or a recommendation to enter into any transaction.
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