DDHQ friend Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was nice enough to have two members of the DDHQ team on a Substack Live conversation about our 2026 election forecast. Chris was joined by Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and Data Science Fellow Maddisen Murrell to talk about the big picture and some specific U.S. Senate and U.S. House races. We’ll be doing this regularly every couple of weeks from now and until the election, so be on the lookout for more updates!

► Chris Cillizza on X: https://x.com/ChrisCillizza► Geoffrey Skelley on X: https://x.com/geoffreyvs► So What: https://chriscillizza.substack.com---► Find our forecast on DDHQ Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/► SUBSTACK: https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/► JOIN OUR OFFICIAL DISCORD SERVER: https://discord.com/invite/ddhq

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CHAPTERS

1:00 How does the forecast work8:05 The overall Senate picture11:50 Probability and range of outcomes in the Senate forecast17:07 Six key races in Maine, Ohio, Texas, Iowa, Alaska, and Michigan22:00 The overall House picture25:34 Polling averages and credible polls28:06 Use of prediction markets30:05 Audience questions



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