Spain have conceded one goal in six World Cup games. They have 66% possession on average — the highest of any team in the tournament. They press harder, run further and sprint more than any other side remaining. By almost every metric, they are the most complete team at the 2026 World Cup. And we're making the case they won't win it.Because Spain have a semifinal problem. Across seven semifinal appearances at major tournaments, their only elimination before the final came in a penalty shootout loss to Italy at Euro 2020. If there is a stage where this team has historically been vulnerable, it is exactly this one. Against France, with Mbappé — even a Mbappé who has never scored in a World Cup semifinal — that vulnerability matters.
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