Oil prices plunged eight percent despite ongoing Iran tensions, as markets bet on diplomacy reopening Middle East flows — but don’t count on it. Demand remains weak, fueled by China’s massive stockpiles and IEA-led reserve releases. Yet, Iran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz persists, with ships rerouted and tolls looming, while Houthi rebels in the Bab-al-Mandeb Strait threaten a dual chokehold. Volatility’s back, and this time, silence may be louder than headlines.

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