The Fed holds rates steady again, sparking debate as three policymakers vote for a hike — mirroring economists’ split. Inflation, fueled by a volatile oil market, pushes the Fed to consider action, but risks slowing job growth. Analysts predict a possible September hike, while others argue the market is already adjusting. Treasury yields soar to 2007 highs, mortgage rates climb — some say the market’s doing the Fed’s job. But a widening gap between Fed policy and market yields could spark instability, and political pressure from the White House adds another layer to this complex, high-stakes puzzle.

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