Labour’s poll numbers dip to 25.9%, but leader Chris Hipkins stays calm, focusing on the campaign ahead rather than short-term swings. The Opportunity party plummets below the 5% threshold at 4.5%, ruling them out as a government-forming force — though their leader Qiulae Wong insists long-term momentum is building. National drops to 29%, yet still holds a parliamentary majority. The Greens surge to 13.9%, poised for record seats, while ACT climbs to 10.5%. Both Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick and ACT’s David Seymour urge voters to engage — the election’s outcome, they say, is far from sealed.

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