Tesla’s trillion-dollar market cap may be in jeopardy before 2027, as soaring spending on AI, robotaxis, and Optimus outpaces profits—despite record deliveries and revenue growth. Operating income plummeted 57%, margins collapsed to 1.4%, and free cash flow turned negative as capital expenditures doubled to $5.8 billion. Management, led by Elon Musk, is betting big on future tech, projecting $25B+ in capex this year—with plans to borrow up to $30B. Short-term investors face risk: if these bets don’t deliver, the stock could fall. A surprise AI breakthrough or robotaxi milestone might spark a rally, but for now, Tesla’s high valuation and deteriorating fundamentals point to a potential under-trillion-dollar close to 2024.
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