Aryna Sabalenka is on fire at the U.S. Open, cruising through her first two matches with ease and showing every sign of a third straight title run. Facing Kamilla Rakhimova in round three, she holds a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record — including a recent win this year — but Rakhimova’s quietly impressive surge, marked by a shocking upset of a seed in her opener, makes her no pushover. While Sabalenka remains the heavy favorite thanks to her dominant U.S. Open history and career-high win rate here, some analysts believe the betting line overvalues her and undervalues Rakhimova’s momentum — predicting a tighter, more competitive match than the odds suggest.

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