Bublik’s hot streak at the U.S. Open could deliver a stunning upset against favored Tommy Paul—this rematch echoes last year’s dramatic Flushing Meadows clash, with Bublik now riding momentum after six straight set wins and a dominant second-round performance. Despite Paul’s head-to-head edge and -176 odds, Bublik’s +139 price and -150 set-cover value make him a compelling underdog play, especially since he’s never lost to Paul in five sets and has already shown resilience by dropping sets in both previous matches. With the over/under at 39.5 sets and Paul’s U.S. Open quarterfinal drought, betting on Bublik to cover +1.5 sets feels smart—and potentially profitable.
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