Reform UK narrowly leads in the latest polls with 23% support, just ahead of Labour at 22%, as the Conservatives slip to 19%. A “Burnham bounce” lifted Labour slightly after Andy Burnham took over, while Reform’s numbers dipped amid scrutiny over Nigel Farage’s controversial gift. Burnham now says no early election is on the table, despite past calls for one. Meanwhile, a new party—Restore Britain, led by Rupert Lowe—is emerging as a potential threat, possibly splitting the right-wing vote. Lowe’s demands, including banning burqas and halal meat, aren’t all appealing to Farage, who’s wary of the fallout. With all parties within the margin of error, the race remains razor-thin and highly volatile.
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