NVIDIA Guided 70% Growth. Its CFO Says It Could Double With Supply. | Ep 54

NVIDIA guided fiscal 2028 to 70% revenue growth against a street at 44%, and CFO Colette Kress says even that number is capped by supply, with demand running closer to 100%. Daniel Newman and Shay Boloor spend episode 54 on the NVDA print that took out two bear theses at once, Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole debut, and the week Shay sold IREN with the power thesis still intact.

The guys open on the print: a top line beat near $4 billion that sold off until the fiscal 2028 guide landed, roughly $40 billion of the $89 billion data center quarter now coming from outside the hyperscalers, and AWS ordering about 2 million more GPUs even while it builds its own silicon. The one crack is margins, guided to 74% on memory inflation. Then the mood flips to IREN: one of the worst conference calls of the year, a deal the company legally cannot announce, and a capex raise well above what Nebius spends. Daniel is holding for what he thinks is underneath it. Shay sold his position on corporate governance while conceding the power thesis has only gotten stronger. On Jackson Hole, neither host believes a Trump appointed chair raises rates, but a higher floor pushed money toward quality. The software conversation runs through Dario Amodei's televised concession, the SaaSaPalooza, and CrowdStrike raising its ARR growth guide to 34% on AI security demand. The Q&A covers Shay's beach stock rule, Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile after the SpaceX IPO, why nobody undercuts Nebius while power stays the bottleneck, memory stocks priced as cyclical, and the Marvell print Shay left more bullish than he entered.

Watch the full episode with chapters on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/8ENYvjLeDIs?feature=share

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