Beijing just released its most detailed rebuttal yet to accusations from the West around industrial overcapacity – and it pointedly avoided using the very word that started the fight in the first place.

  • There’s a reason for that, and we break it all down in today’s podcast.

On this episode, Andrew Polk sits down with Dinny McMahon (Head of Markets Research) to unpack:

  • The five core arguments in MOFCOM’s new position paper on overcapacity, examining which ones hold up and which ones stretch too far
  • Why Beijing dropped the word “overcapacity” for “involution” 18 months ago, and what that rhetorical swap is designed to do
  • How China frames itself as both free trade’s champion and its victim, and why that framing leaves little room for compromise
  • Why the US may have the least at stake here economically, and why Europe is where this fight actually gets decided

As always, we hope you enjoy the discussion – reach out and let us know any thoughts or feedback.

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