From there Hawk lays out the political reality. Even with 52 or 53 Senate seats, Democrats would be far short of the Republican votes needed for conviction, and a Republican-controlled Senate might decline to hold a trial at all. He notes how Mitch McConnell pointed to the courts after January 6th, and how impeachments historically boost a president's poll numbers, as they did for Bill Clinton and for Trump twice before.
Weighing it out, Hawk points to an open 2028 White House, a Senate GOP already tired of Trump after the primary losses of John Cornyn, Bill Cassidy, and Thom Tillis, and his own mixed feelings. He explains why he leans toward moving on rather than grinding Congress to a halt, while acknowledging the constitutional argument for using the remedy the founders provided.
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