US commercial real estate started 2026 on steady footing, but the story varies considerably depending on what part of the market you look at. In this episode of CRE Exchange, our hosts are joined by Alex Jaffe and Mike Amthor from Altus Group's Valuation Advisory practice to discuss Q1 2026 ODCE index results alongside REIT earnings themes. The team also takes a look at the residential market inversion between Sun Belt and gateway cities, the SoCal industrial softness that isn't clearing yet, and what fund managers are saying about 2026 and 2027 as a potential entry point for long-term capital deployment.


Key moments


01:27 Meet the guests02:25 ODCE data primer03:17 Q1 returns and CapEx06:38 REIT crosscheck08:43 Sector pecking order11:08 Multifamily market split13:55 Industrial soft spots16:12 SoCal strategy and REIT themes19:14 Office leasing reality22:21 Retail strength and risks28:31 Self storage spotlight31:50 Client questions and outlook35:00 Rates leverage and wrap up


Resources mentioned


Altus’ Q1 valuation and performance trends analysis of the NCREIF ODCE Index: https://www.altusgroup.com/webinars/ncreif-odce-index-quarterly-analysis/#featured Alex Jaffe: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexander-jaffe-mai/ Mike Amthor: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-amthor-40865154/ 

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