Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul โ full preview, head-to-head breakdown and prediction for their THIRD ROUND clash at the 2026 US Open at Flushing Meadows, New York. Chaos against control, and an American who has usually had the answers.
Alexander Bublik is the 15th seed and World No. 16, and he remains the most unpredictable ball-striker in the men's game. He won his ninth ATP Tour title in Hong Kong this season, beating Lorenzo Musetti 7-6(2), 6-3, and reached the fourth round of the Australian Open. In New York he opened by beating J.J. Wolf on the American's return from injury. On the right night, with the serve landing and the drop shots working, he can beat anybody in the draw โ that has never been the question with Bublik.
Tommy Paul is the World No. 21 and, on paper, the more reliable operator: a former Grand Slam semifinalist with a game built for exactly these conditions, and a genuine home-crowd advantage on the New York courts where American players tend to lift.
The head-to-head tells the story. Paul leads 5-2 across seven career meetings, and the margins have generally been his too โ 13 sets to 8, and even the games count in his favour at 114-103. Bublik has the higher ceiling; Paul has the better record of solving him.
This one has five sets written all over it.
๐พ IN THIS VIDEO
- Why Paul has consistently found answers to Bublik's game
- What Bublik needs for one of his ceiling performances
- How the New York crowd shapes this matchup
- Prediction, scoreline, and the road to the second week
๐ MATCH INFO
Tournament: 2026 US Open (Grand Slam)
Round: Third Round โ Men's Singles
Players: Alexander Bublik (KAZ, No. 16, 15th seed) vs Tommy Paul (USA, No. 21)
Head-to-head: Paul leads 5-2
Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
Surface: Outdoor Hard
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York
๐ฌ Bublik or Paul? Predicted scoreline in the comments.
๐ Like if you want daily US Open previews and predictions
๐ SUBSCRIBE and turn on notifications for full 2026 US Open coverage
- Mantis 10%: https://mantissport.com/qualityshot10 (At Checkout)
- IM8 10% OFF: https://im8.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=26&aff_id=2077 (Code QST10 at Checkout)
- Acemate: https://www.acematetennis.com?sca_ref=11586466.udoQ3GLV6m55xoG1&utm_source=uppromote&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=standard-affiliate-commission&utm_content=affiliate-QualityShot-Tennis
---
Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for "fair use" for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use and no copyright infringement is intended. No match footage is shown in these videos.
โ ๏ธ Independent tennis analysis and commentary. Predictions are opinion only and not betting advice. Not affiliated with the USTA, the ATP or the US Open.
#Bublik #TommyPaul #USOpen
