Badger calls in from Crete after a week in which he trimmed $CRWD to 3% of his retirement portfolio and nearly sold $NU on a Monzo rumor. Monkey read a bear essay on AI spending and started talking himself out of $CIFR. The top 20 stocks were 38% of the S&P 500 at the dot-com peak and are over 50% now; Badger's argument, after ten bull and bear cycles, is that it may not matter which one we're in. With three weeks left in year three of King of the Jungle, the co-hosts are within 2% of each other (and kicking the market's butt).
🎓 Bill Gates on AI tutoring vs Monkey's classroom, where students outsource the struggle
📉 A bear essay on AI spend vs AI revenue, and Badger's case for hardware over the labs
🥧 S&P 500 concentration: top 20 were 38% of the index at the dot-com peak, over 50% now
📈 Ten bull and bear cycles, and why you should stay in the game regardless
🦍 Monkey's four AI data-center stocks, $IREN, $DGXX, $CIFR and $SLNH - which one is he selling?
🛑 $NU: the Monzo rumor, the sell Badger skipped, and why you have more time than you think
🛡️ $CRWD at $275B: why Badger trimmed
🤝 You owe it to your friends to teach them the power of long-term investing
SEGMENTS
00:00 Cold open and intro
02:29 Bill Gates on AI and education vs Monkey's classroom
07:27 The bear essay, half one: AI spend vs AI revenue
09:59 Luke's pushback: the labs have no moat, the hardware does
11:28 The bear essay, half two: 2008-style debt
15:03 S&P 500 concentration: top 20 at the dot-com peak vs now
17:08 Monkey's own exposure: $IREN, Anthropic and the domino risk
19:17 The S&P top 10 is one correlated trade
22:03 Ten bull and bear cycles: why you stay in the game regardless
24:00 Monkey's conundrum: four AI data-center stocks, sell $CIFR?
28:54 The laziness factor and number one vs number two
32:50 Where the money goes, and Monkey talks himself into selling
36:15 $NU: the Monzo rumor and the impulse sell Badger skipped
39:48 $CRWD: five years in, a $275B name, trimmed to 3%
44:07 Selling winners: earnings-call hours as goodwill
45:50 Bull or bear? Maybe it doesn't matter
47:57 King of the Jungle year four approaches
49:45 $ASTS: the one stock both portfolios share
53:09 Luke's brother launches a 120-day investing initiative for friends
55:26 The mission statement: point a friend to the show
56:41 Fiscal.ai and sign-off
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Monkey’s “Zen, Nietzsche, How to Live” Substack:
firephilosophy.substack.com
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portseido.com/?fpr=lukehallard
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Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation
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