Luke calls in from a hotel in Crete with a glass of the house honey ale, and Monkey needs one: on Thursday night SpaceX agreed to buy a block of low-band spectrum, T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon fell on Friday, and $ASTS went dropped 16% with them. Monkey argues the market got it backwards, because the carriers just lost their other options, and walks through a one-week call he bought as the stock climbed back. Luke use a reverse DCF to answer two viewers who asked why he trimmed $CRWD, then explains why he bought Brookfield $BN.
🛰️ SpaceX agrees to buy 800 MHz spectrum; T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon fall 10 to 13%
📉 Why $ASTS fell with them, and Monkey's case that its hand got stronger
🎟️ Monkey's $50 one-week call: the 15-minute chart, card counting vs gambling
🤖 Why prices swing harder than ever, according to Monkey
📷 Axon and the backlash against cameras everywhere
🚀 Could SpaceX swallow Tesla? Monkey's theory and Luke's 50% haircut
✂️ Luke's CrowdStrike trim: two viewer questions and Peter Lynch's flowers and weeds
🧮 $CRWD Reverse DCF (the growth today's price assumes)
🏗️ $BN Brookfield Corp: an insurance arm that reminds Luke of early Berkshire
🐣 Starter positions, and why perfection can be the enemy of the good
SEGMENTS
00:00 Cold open
00:38 Intro: SpaceX, $ASTS, Brookfield and a $CRWD reverse DCF
2:19 King of the Jungle year three: close, and now it ain't close
02:59 Monkey's worst day, and the banana hat
04:46 Live by the sword: concentrated vs diversified
05:16 Why prices swing harder than ever, and who moves them
10:02 SpaceX moves on 800 MHz spectrum
12:37 T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon fall
17:01 Know the company: T-Mobile's options and AST's leverage
20:05 Luke: take stock, my friend
21:11 A golden moment? Over-aggressive or overly passive
23:05 Monkey's March calls and the 15-minute chart
29:53 Monkey's end game for $ASTS, and options flow
34:54 A viewer's question; Axon and the backlash against cameras
37:59 Could SpaceX swallow Tesla? $TSLA $SPCX
40:14 Trimming CrowdStrike $CRWD based on its Reverse DCF valuation
47:30 How expensive is too expensive; AI and cybersecurity?
49:35 $BN Brookfield: the empire and its insurance arm
53:03 Starter positions: don't let perfection be the enemy of the good
54:40 Fiscal.ai and sign-off
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Monkey’s “Zen, Nietzsche, How to Live” Substack:
firephilosophy.substack.com
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To use the same portfolio tracking tool as Luke, check-out:
portseido.com/?fpr=lukehallard
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Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation
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