🎙️NEXTPredict Podcast #4 with Chuck Todd on the 2026 Midterms, Prediction Market Blind Spots & the Future of Political Forecasting
Chuck Todd spent three decades at NBC News as political director and moderator of Meet the Press. He now runs The Chuck ToddCast independently. He is also the official ambassador for NEXTPredict New York, taking place October 22-23.
In this episode, Pierre sits down with Chuck to do something very few people are qualified to do: speak to both the political reality and the prediction market picture at the same time and point out exactly where the two come apart.
⏰ Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:39 - Welcoming Chuck Todd
01:51 - Are we really living in unprecedented times?
06:03 - What actually unites American politics
11:46 - The midterms: pattern repeating or something different?
13:25 - "Blue wave or blue tsunami?"
15:48 - The agricultural tariff story nobody is covering
17:42 - The Trump voter tunes in much later
19:00 - Texas: the race that could reshape American politics
24:21 - The youth turnout problem
29:05 - Trump making it about himself — mistake or only play left?
31:30 - The Iran war: fractures inside the Republican coalition
34:24 - Unpopular wars as political undoing
36:38 - The Pete Hagseth impeachment vote
38:34 - The Democratic Party: no leader, no alignment
39:45 - Michigan as the decider
44:04 - The rise of the democratic socialist movement
45:05 - The K-shaped economy
47:46 - Will the midterms happen on time?
49:40 - The real risk is not the election. It's the certification.
51:12 - Leaving NBC: the pressure from corporate boardrooms was real
56:07 - What Chuck wants to learn at NEXTPredict NYC
NYC Summit - NEXTPredict October 22 - 23, 2026 at Convene 30 Hudson Yards.
🎟 Get your tickets here: https://nextpredict.io/summits/the-worlds-prediction-markets-summit/
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