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In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine the historic rebound across semiconductors, artificial intelligence beneficiaries, and high beta momentum stocks ahead of one of the most important Mega Cap earnings weeks of the year.
Broad momentum delivered its strongest session in more than five years, technology momentum recorded its best day on record, and Goldman Sachs’ artificial intelligence basket produced its strongest performance since the launch of ChatGPT.
We explain why cleaner positioning, aggressive short covering, elevated put demand, and negative dealer gamma created the conditions for such a powerful rebound.
The episode also examines why it may still be too early to declare the recent semiconductor correction complete. The group remains below its 50 day moving average, momentum exposure remains elevated on a five year basis, and earnings expectations remain extremely demanding.
Beyond equities, we cover Brent crude closing above $90, expanding disruption across the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea, rising Treasury yields, higher Federal Reserve rate expectations, and the growing possibility that 5 percent becomes a floor rather than a ceiling for the long bond.
We also discuss the renewed strength in the United States dollar, the Japanese yen falling toward 163 per dollar, gold’s rally toward $4,080, and Bitcoin’s move toward $67,000.
Finally, we preview Alphabet’s earnings and explain why its full year capital expenditure guidance may determine whether the artificial intelligence rebound becomes sustainable or fades into another round of volatility.
Follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly market intelligence, macro analysis, earnings breakdowns, and educational commentary designed to help investors better understand today’s financial markets.
