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Can something as simple as backing the home team actually be profitable?

That is what we are testing in this episode.

The strategy was randomly generated...

Back the Home Win.

No complicated trading rules.

No fancy entry points.

Just take the market, put it through the football backtesting software, and see whether we can turn a ridiculously simple idea into something worth forward testing.

In this podcast, I look at:

  •  The starting Home Win results 
  •  Overall profit and ROI 
  •  Strike rate and average odds 
  •  Winning and losing runs 
  •  Which leagues performed best 
  •  The filters that improved the strategy 
  •  Whether I think there is actually an edge here 

This is exactly why I love backtesting.

You can start with almost any idea, test thousands of historical matches, then use the data to work out what deserves more attention.

Want to test your own football trading strategies before risking real money?

Check out the Betfair Trading Community football backtesting software.

Support the show

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Twitter: @BetfairTC
Website: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/
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