OVERVIEW
Fifteen NBA games were on tap, so I broke down every relevant fantasy basketball development across the league—good, bad, and baffling. From surprise starting lineups and breakout performances to critical slumps, this episode is all about actionable decisions: adds, drops, holds, and buy/sell strategies as player values shake out.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- John Collins’ poor fantasy production and shrinking role make him fully droppable in standard leagues, regardless of his recent starting status.
- Paul Reed continues to be a top-60 player while Jalen Duren is out, but his value likely evaporates once Duren returns, making him a clear short-term hold, not a season-long stash.
- Aaron Wiggins’ fantasy value is hollow—if he isn’t shooting efficiently he provides almost nothing, so I’m not viewing him as a must-roster in 10- or even 12-team formats.
- Mikal Bridges’ massive slump is beyond what I expected; he’s not a must-hold and you shouldn’t feel bad if you want to move on, but he’s also better than what he’s shown and shouldn’t be dropped in deeper leagues.
- If you drafted Matas Buzelis, hold through the miserable start—he’s underperforming but I’ve seen enough to know he’s not this bad and is extremely likely to improve.
- Ryan Rollins’ minutes are drying up, but I’m not cutting bait yet; however, if the bench role with 18 minutes holds, then he becomes expendable.
- Malik Monk flashed his upside with extended run, but Doug Christie’s inconsistent rotations make him too risky to trust as an add outside of deeper leagues or stream scenarios.
- Call out to check waivers for value adds like Paul Reed and to be aware of shifts coming from injury returns and role changes—specifically with surges from Malik Thomas, decline from Dennis Schroder, and shaky minutes for Day’Ron Sharpe.
- Darius Garland is a prime buy-low target; it’s a great time to trade for him with managers frustrated by his poor shooting and high turnovers, both of which should positively regress.
RESOURCES
CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
1:26 Thunder vs. Cavaliers recap
6:09 Hawks vs. Pacers recap (rotations, six-man Indiana box score)
12:22 Brooklyn vs. Knicks, player struggles and streamer options
18:31 Wizards vs. Magic, lineup notes, sustainability questions
24:32 Pistons vs. Hornets, hot adds and clear drops
30:37 Bulls vs. 76ers, rookie struggles and buy/hold projections
36:42 Kings vs. Mavericks, Monk’s upside and rookie production
43:32 Bucks vs. Timberwolves, guard rotations and drop decisions
47:06 Pelicans vs. Grizzlies, injury absences and opportunity watch
53:33 Celtics vs. Rockets, Sengun’s breakout
59:01 Jazz vs. Spurs, rookie guards and “must-roster” debates
1:03:33 Blazers vs. Nuggets, Clegan’s breakout and Cam Johnson injury
1:07:33 Timberwolves fantasy check-in
1:09:31 Heat vs. Lakers, Luka’s run and rotation notes
1:13:22 Warriors vs. Suns, Green’s odd line, Mallwatch warning
1:17:16 Raptors vs. Clippers, Murray-Boyles turns a corner, Jackson/Lopez rotation
1:21:41 Lines of the Night, Waiver Wire, Buy Low, Dud
1:24:10 Wrap-up and closing
Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Odoo
Great organizations win because operations matter. And that’s why you should get Odoo. Try for free today at https://Odoo.com/lockedon.
5-Hour ENERGY
Spice up your season with rich pumpkin flavor and bold cinnamon swagger in every sip. Pumpkin Spice 5-hour ENERGY®️ shots are available for a limited time in stores and on https://5hourENERGY.com or Amazon.
Indeed
Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast.
PrizePicks
Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/LOCKEDONNBA and use code LOCKEDONNBA and get $150 if you win your first $5 lineup!
Quo
Money is on the line. Always say hello with QUO. Try QUO for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months when you go to https://Quo.com/LOCKEDONNBA.
Wayfair
Transform your space with pieces that hold up to real life. Join Wayfair Rewards today and get five percent back on every purchase.
Head to https://Wayfair.com or shop the Wayfair app for all things home. Every style. Every home.
KALSHI
Today's episode is brought to you by Kalshi. For a limited time, Download Kalshi and use code Locked On to get $25 when you trade $25. Kalshi. Trade what’s next.
Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply.
FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.
FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
Visit Josh Lloyd Fantasy for more
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.