They're Back...

Tom welcomes legendary investor educator and longtime friend Paul Merriman for a wide-ranging conversation about the evolution of indexing, the proposed changes to the S&P 500, and why investors should understand both the strengths and limitations of traditional index funds. Paul explains why firms like Dimensional Fund Advisors and Avantis Investors use a more flexible, evidence-based approach than traditional indexing and discusses how academic research has reshaped portfolio construction over the past several decades.

The discussion also explores lessons from market history, including the importance of understanding major bear markets, determining appropriate risk levels, and building portfolios that align with personal goals rather than chasing maximum returns. Paul shares insights from the latest Dimensional Matrix Book and explains why he believes studying 100 years of market data helps investors stay disciplined during inevitable downturns.

Finally, Paul introduces a simple but powerful strategy for helping newborns and young children build substantial retirement wealth through small annual investments that can compound over many decades.

Timestamps

0:11 Special guest Paul Merriman joins Talking Real Money
0:55 Long friendship and investing partnership between Tom and Paul
1:20 S&P 500 rule changes and earlier inclusion of major IPOs like SpaceX
2:07 Historical examples of S&P 500 additions and omissions
2:35 Microsoft’s delayed entry into the S&P 500
2:56 NVIDIA replacing Enron in 2001
3:29 How index rule changes can affect future returns and volatility
4:08 Why indexing remains the preferred strategy for most investors
5:16 Traditional versus non-traditional index funds
6:37 How Avantis and Dimensional incorporate factors beyond company size
8:05 Why factor-based investing differs from traditional indexing
9:02 Problems with rigid index reconstitution schedules
10:16 Momentum, flexibility, and portfolio management advantages
11:22 Introduction to Dimensional’s annual Matrix Book
11:53 Using market history rather than forecasts to guide investing decisions
13:09 Lessons from past bubbles, crashes, and lost decades
14:20 Why Paul trusts academic research more than Wall Street forecasts
15:14 The case for small-cap value investing
15:49 Clarifying Paul’s allocation to small companies
16:53 Investing for heirs, charities, and future generations
18:10 Remembering investor panic during the 2008 financial crisis
19:18 Determining an appropriate risk level for retirement portfolios
20:43 Different investor goals: beating the market, maximizing returns, or minimizing risk
21:28 Peace of mind versus maximum growth
21:55 Helping young people build retirement wealth early
22:54 The $365-per-year retirement funding concept
24:09 Final thoughts and appreciation between Tom and Paul

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