Gina Szymanski, chief investment officer at AEW Capital Management’s global securities business, told the REIT Report that for long-term investors in the REIT market, “there is no better time in the cycle than now,” as historically low levels of supply across all sectors bolster prospects for growth and fundamentals.
“We actually are very bullish,” Szymanski said. “We are sitting at a trough in the cycle. When interest rates started to rise in 2022, it was really pencils down in terms of new development and it took a while for the supply pipelines to empty across the board. But now, really across all sectors, we're sitting at historically low levels of new supply. That will ultimately lead to more pricing power for landlords, and we are seeing green shoots of that,” she added.
Acknowledging that the spread between REIT implied cap rates and the 10-year Treasury has halved since the start of the year, Szymanski emphasized that REITs can still thrive if investors focus on growth sectors, which include senior housing, data centers, and retail.
Chapters: 00:00 Bullish REIT Snapshot 00:22 Meet the Host and Guest 00:43 What Changed Since January 02:28 Bond Yields and Valuation Cushion 03:23 High Growth Sector Picks 05:23 Is There Still Upside 06:02 Apartments and Office Discounts 08:08 Balance Sheets and Deal Activity 09:02 US Versus Global Allocation 09:57 Volatility as an Advantage 11:00 Cycle Trough and Closing Takeaways 12:12 Final Thanks and Subscribe
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