BNP Paribas' Morris says the big worry now is economic 'overheating'

Daniel Morris, chief investment strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, says that his primary concern right now is the risk that the economy could overheat, thanks to above-trend growth and inflation that could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in an effort to slow things down. If that fails to cool inflation, the economy could then struggle and the market could step far away from its current uptrend. Morris' base case, however, is for continued earnings growth that can power the market into 2028, noting that while growth will slow down, there is still plenty of room to keep going and not have the economy resemble past bubble times.

In The Book Interview, Chad Bown, co-author of "'How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy," discusses how there are reasons and ways for trade-war scenarios to play out well, and the trade-offs today's leaders would have to make for current trade tensions to pass without plunging the global economy into a deep funk.

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