Polls show a seismic shift in New Zealand’s political landscape, with Labour and National both slipping to their lowest levels since 2024, while the Greens and ACT surge ahead. Opportunity Party fails to cross the five percent threshold, ruling them out of Parliament — and National has already shut the door on any coalition talks. The current coalition government would return to power with 64 seats, narrowly edging out the opposition’s 56. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon still leads Chris Hipkins in leadership preference, but both are down — signaling a turbulent, uncertain election season ahead.
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