The FCS’s golden era of shocking Power Four upsets is fading fast—no team has beaten a top FBS squad in two full seasons since Sacramento State stunned Stanford in 2023. With NIL money and the transfer portal widening the talent gap, even Group of Six teams are dominating FCS opponents. As powerhouse FCS programs like North Dakota State and Sacramento State jump to FBS, the odds keep shrinking. While a few 2026 matchups still offer hope, breaking this streak will require near-perfect execution—and maybe a little luck. The FBS advantage is too big to ignore.
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