Iran’s internal power struggle is making any lasting ceasefire nearly impossible, as rival factions—from the civilian government seeking economic relief to the Revolutionary Guard Corps using regional attacks for leverage—push conflicting agendas. Despite temporary pauses and diplomatic efforts like a June deal that collapsed after Iran resumed strikes, U.S. retaliation and continued attacks by allied militias in Iraq and Yemen show the conflict isn’t winding down. With multiple command layers and shifting priorities, peace talks face an uphill battle against a reality where Iran seems determined to use chaos to gain political ground before agreeing to any new status quo.
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