Fidelity’s crypto bear market watchlist reveals five key signals that could spark a rally: Bitcoin’s historic four-year cycle, looming regulation like the Clarity Act, surging real-world asset tokenization, rebounding institutional flows, and—crucially—the Fed’s stubbornly hawkish stance. While Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana all trade far below peaks, the real catalyst may come from regulatory clarity and institutional adoption. But with interest rates likely to rise, not fall, and inflation pressures mounting, the path to recovery remains uncertain—until the Fed finally pivots.
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