The relationship between the United States and China will help shape the
world over the next quarter of a century. But is conflict between the two
superpowers inevitable, or could demographic change, economic interdependence and diverging technological priorities lead to a very different future? Looking ahead to 2049, the centenary of the Chinese Communist Party’s rise to power, the answers may be less predictable than many assume.
In this episode of the podcast, Tim Hames joins Zeb Baker-Smith, Editor of Aspects of History, to discuss his new book, War or Peace?: The United States and China, 2026–2049 with Tim Hames. Together they examine the historical roots of the rivalry, the significance of the so-called Thucydides Trap, and the contrasting approaches of Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. Tim also ponders China’s looming demographic crisis, the competition over artificial intelligence and semiconductors, and the strategic importance of Taiwan.
Tim argues that the two countries are not necessarily destined for a new
Cold War, and that their rivalry may be shaped as much by ageing populations and economic realities as by military power. He considers where cooperation might be possible, the challenges facing Britain and Europe, and why understanding China’s future could change how Washington views its principal rival.
Episode Links
War or Peace?: The United States and China, 2026–2049 with Tim Hames
Tim Hames Links
Tim online
Zeb Links
Zeb on Twitter /X
Zeb on Instagram
Zeb on Substack
Aspects of History Links
AoH online
AoH on Twitter /X
AoH on Instagram
AoH on Substack
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
