Britain’s biggest byelection in history is underway in Greater Manchester, with over two million voters choosing a new mayor — a role wielding a £3 billion annual budget and control over housing, health, and transport. Labour’s Bev Craig, a Manchester city council leader, leads comfortably in polls with a 20-point edge over Reform UK’s candidate, thanks in part to Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s recent elevation boosting Labour’s momentum. Reform, meanwhile, has shifted focus to Clacton with Nigel Farage, while the Greens and Conservatives trail behind. The supplementary voting system could further advantage Labour, as their candidate is likely a top second-choice pick — a potential blow if Reform fails to secure even a strong second-place finish after recent local election wins.
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