A new US-Saudi nuclear deal is in the works—but it’s tied to Saudi Arabia’s recognition of Israel, a major diplomatic hurdle. Former President Trump pushed the agenda, emphasizing civilian-only use and no enrichment, sparking Israeli concerns over a regional arms race. The Biden administration nearly cracked this before Gaza tensions derailed progress. Saudi Arabia insists on Palestinian statehood as a precondition, which Israel rejects. Meanwhile, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is pushing economic diversification while signaling Saudi Arabia may pursue nuclear capability if Iran does. The Abraham Accords remain central to this high-stakes geopolitical maneuvering.

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