Doom Debates: Why Liron Shapira Says AI Could Be a 50/50 Extinction Bet

What if the biggest AI debate isn’t innovation vs. regulation, but whether superintelligence could end humanity? In this condensed recap of the full Doom Debates conversation, host Liron Shapira explores P(doom), AI alignment, and why he thinks the odds of catastrophic AI risk could be as high as a coin flip by 2050. This shorter version trims the full discussion into the key ideas: the Icarus curve, why prediction markets may not be enough, how AI could wield power through humans rather than robots, and why a Pause AI movement or international treaty could matter. You’ll also hear the tension between profiting from AI’s boom and fearing its long-term endpoint, plus the national security and job automation stakes behind the race for superintelligence. Listen now to get the key ideas in minutes.