The Treasury’s latest currency report drops a major surprise: no major trading partners were found manipulating exchange rates for unfair advantage. But ten key nations — including China, Japan, Germany, and others — remain under close watch for potential macroeconomic meddling. Countries stay on the radar if they hit two out of three triggers: big U.S. trade surplus, strong current account surplus, or heavy currency intervention. Notably, Thailand, Singapore, and Switzerland barely met the bar this time — possibly paving the way for removal next time. And the Treasury’s focus has widened: now tracking both currency appreciation and depreciation tactics, not just export-friendly suppression.
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