Poland’s ruling PiS party has fractured as Jarosław Kaczyński expelled former PM Mateusz Morawiecki and 30+ lawmakers for clinging to a faction Morawiecki allegedly used to build his own power base. The split, fueled by a long-simmering rivalry, weakens PiS’s already faltering grip — now polling at 26% versus Tusk’s 32%. Morawiecki’s allies will form a new parliamentary bloc, shrinking PiS to second place behind Civic Coalition. With right-wing voters now splintered across PiS, two far-right groups, and Morawiecki’s faction, no single conservative force can easily challenge Tusk — though his coalition may still struggle to secure a stable majority as the political landscape reshuffles ahead of elections.

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