Labour’s “Burnham bounce” is real—and it’s sending shockwaves through the polls. With a strong win in the Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election and a jump to mid-20s in national polls—their best in over a year—Labour’s fresh leadership is reigniting hope after a deep slump. But don’t get too excited: they’re still trailing their last election highs and barely ahead of Reform UK, which is now facing internal fractures, a dip in support, and a new rival party stealing its vote. Meanwhile, Greens and Lib Dems are bleeding support as voters return to Labour. The real challenge? Can Burnham win back working-class voters who’ve shifted to Reform? The road ahead is long—but the momentum’s undeniable.
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