The Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint as U.S. and Iran edge toward a fragile deal—but control is the sticking point. Iran demands a say in managing the chokepoint, rejecting full reopening to pre-war conditions, while still wielding the power to disrupt shipping. With midterms looming and gas prices soaring, pressure mounts on Trump to compromise—even if it means softening his stance. Meanwhile, U.S. military stockpiles of advanced weapons are reportedly dwindling amid relentless strikes, sparking Pentagon pleas for billions in new funding. The President denies shortages, touts production, and warns against leaks, but lawmakers and analysts question whether prolonged, strategy-less warfare isn’t accelerating the drain. Despite claims of open waters, Iranian threats like mines continue to shadow commercial traffic—now up, but far below pre-crisis levels.

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