Democrats are targeting Texas’ 23rd District—a Republican stronghold since 2015—as a key swing seat in their bid to flip the House. With GOP incumbent Tony Gonzales gone and his replacement, gun-rights YouTuber Brandon Herrera, facing backlash over inflammatory and controversial remarks—including accusations of antisemitism—Democrats see an opening. Hispanic voter support for Trump is slipping, and Herrera’s online persona and fundraising edge (over $300K vs. Padilla Stout’s $171K) may be working against him. Though Cook’s Report labels it “likely Republican,” Democrats believe they can win this majority-Hispanic district—and it’s just one of three South Texas seats they’re prioritizing to build a stable majority.
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