August’s here, and baseball’s in full swing—teams leading their divisions on the first of August have a strong historical edge, with 72% of division winners holding that spot since 1996 (excluding 2020). Last year, three of six August-first leaders won their divisions, and 19 of 29 World Series champs since ’96 were division leaders back then. Teams like the Astros, Brewers, Dodgers, Braves, Rays, and White Sox are currently in the driver’s seat—but don’t sleep on it: 28% still fall short. With the trade deadline looming, momentum matters, but nothing’s guaranteed.

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