Tensions between the U.S. and Iran are spiraling again, with airstrikes and attacks around the Strait of Hormuz showing neither side is willing to back down — and military escalation alone isn’t working. Despite President Trump’s warning that any American casualties will trigger a far stronger response, experts argue this approach misunderstands Iran and ignores lessons from past conflicts. While U.S. officials insist talks are still possible — citing Iranian signals — they’re focused on holding Iran accountable for recent attacks and deaths, while keeping diplomatic doors ajar. But former diplomats warn the administration lacks a coherent strategy, and relying solely on air strikes hasn’t forced concessions, as Iran has time to hide its assets. With deep mistrust and fragile goodwill, any diplomatic breakthrough could be derailed by further disruptions — risking a global economic meltdown.
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