Join Rich, Adam, and Jerry as they dive deep into the structures that shape systematic trend following. No guests this month — just the three of us tackling big themes, fresh charts, and audience questions that get right to the heart of Outlier Hunting.
In this episode:
📊 Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – August review: classic trend bounces back, but what lies beneath the numbers?
📈 What’s Moved the Needle – JGBs, Copper (US & LME), Gold, Silver, and Live Cattle take center stage.
🔍 Turtle Tidbits – Five heavyweight topics:
Are markets fractal and are outliers inevitable?
Expectancy vs Path Dependence – what really matters for survival?
The Cut Back Rule – Jerry explains why it’s essential.
Loose Pants – Jerry’s metaphor for risk and flexibility.
High-Vol Trend Following – unpacking Seeking Alpha’s case for why it might be the most valuable alternative investment.
💌 Shell Mail (Listener Q&A) – Audience questions on diversification sizing, lost decades in trend following, and quantifying fat-tailed events.
🎙️ Plus: Rich defends path dependence, Adam challenges mandate mixing, and Jerry sharpens his myth-busting sword.
📚 Special Announcement:
Our new book The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide is being released next week! It’s the flagship collection of philosophy, process, and practice behind the Aussie Turtles® approach. Stay tuned @ https://www.aussieturtles.com/ for launch details.
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