Will housing ever become affordable? Sean, Joe and I dig into what it would actually take for home prices to come down, and why the answer is a lot more complicated than everyone screaming crash on TikTok wants it to be.
We start with the number that should stop you cold. The qualifying income for a starter home in America right now is $103,584 a year. That is just to get your foot in the door. Then we play a clip of Trump saying he does not want housing prices to come down because he wants to protect the wealth of homeowners who already own. The same guy who campaigned on driving prices down is now on camera saying the opposite.
I walk through the three rules that have preceded every housing crash in history. Low demand and high supply, which we do not have right now. Jobs failing first, which has not happened yet. And money printing as the government's inevitable response once something does crack. We debunk a viral bank teller story with zero sourcing, we look at real delinquency data instead of vibes, and we dig into the silver tsunami theory, whether boomers dying off over the next decade will actually flood the market with affordable supply, or whether it just leaves empty McMansions in retirement towns nobody under 40 wants to live in.
Bottom line, I do not think this ends in a crash. I think it ends in more printing, prices grinding back up, and wages continuing to lose the race. The real problem was never housing. It is money printing and wages that never caught up.
We are now shooting twice a week, Tuesdays and Fridays, live here on YouTube, and available on Spotify and Apple right after.
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