On Wednesday, with the 30-year yield sitting at a 19-year high, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the government would at least double the size of its long-term debt buybacks from two billion to at least four billion dollars per operation and targeting the 10-to-30-year part of the curve. This happened the same day, Treasury confirmed the national debt had crossed forty trillion dollars for the first time. Yields dropped on the news — and then promptly reversed. Within a day, the 10- and 30-year had erased the entire move and pushed higher than before Bessent spoke, forcing him back in front of the cameras to insist four billion is a floor, not a ceiling, and that yields - quote - "don't reflect the underlying fundamentals." The market's verdict, from a JPMorgan note, was blunt: interventions like this belie the structural challenges and do nothing to address them. Translation — a widening deficit, sticky inflation, and a wave of AI-driven corporate issuance are the real story, and a bigger buyback fixes none of it. For gold, that's about as clean a bull signal as you'll find, and it shows up all over the board.
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