How much money do you actually need to make as a farmer to survive? Not how much you want to make, what's the real floor? Most people dramatically overestimate that number.

Curtis Stone's framework: calculate your actual cost of living, set your production goal (say $80,000), then budget your first year at one-third of that (~$25,000). Year two: two-thirds. Year three and beyond: the full target. His own first years: "If I could make twenty grand a season, that would be enough." He was prepared to live below the poverty line while he learned.

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