John Polomny, founder of Actionable Intelligence and an experienced resource-market investor focused on commodities, energy, and macroeconomic trends, joins me to examine the forces reshaping global markets.
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Recording Date 8-12-2026. In this episode, John explains why disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz extend far beyond crude oil into LNG, aluminum and fertilizer, while alternative pipelines and overland routes can only partially offset lost shipping capacity. We discuss oil-stock drawdowns, China's role in suppressing near-term pressure on energy markets, and John's broader thesis that mounting U.S. debt, persistent deficits and declining geopolitical reach point toward a major restructuring of the global economic order.
I also dig into John's hard-asset strategy as we examine the nearly 50% expansion in M2 since COVID, rising long-term Treasury yields and why he expects policymakers eventually to turn toward yield-curve control and financial repression. John then makes the case for copper despite calling the AI infrastructure boom a bubble. He believes an AI bust could trigger a recession and temporarily push copper toward $3.50–$4.00, but constrained mine supply and electrification could ultimately drive prices toward $10–$12. We finish with John's framework for taking profits, sizing mining positions and using extreme resource-stock volatility instead of fearing it.
Key Insights In This Episode
✅ Hormuz disruptions threaten oil, LNG, aluminum, and fertilizer.
✅ U.S. debt and deficits strengthen the hard-asset thesis.
✅ Yield curve control could return as bond yields rise.
✅ The AI data-center buildout is a major capital bubble.
✅ Copper could reach $10–$12 per pound this decade.
✅ Mining stocks require disciplined profit-taking and position sizing.
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Chapters
00:00 Strait of Hormuz Oil Disruptions
02:35 Global Oil Inventories and China
06:58 The Decline of Western Hegemony
13:33 M2 Inflation and Hard Assets
18:30 Copper and the AI Data Center Bubble
23:46 Why the Copper Bull Case Survives
25:22 Taking Profits in Mining Stocks
29:16 Actionable Intelligence and John's Research
30:05 Premium Oil Gas and Market Opportunities
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
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