First Watch’s stock is plummeting—down 26% in six months, trading around $12.42—as investors worry about sluggish same-store sales, a cash-burning model, and over $1 billion in debt. While cash flow is positive lately, the company’s negative free cash flow and high leverage make it risky, especially with a high valuation. Analysts are steering clear, favoring steadier industrial plays in the current climate.
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