Trump cut a diesel deal with Russia to ease a fuel crunch that has France in the streets and Europe heading into winter on thin gas reserves. Europe’s response: howls of rage. Peter Erickson reads that as proof the political class would rather freeze than loosen a single sanction, and Charlie argues the only way out now is either a revolution or a collapse of the dollar before the war party gets what it wants.In the Middle East, a leaked three day strike plan called for the MOAB on Pickaxe Mountain, and Iranian state media confirmed that Washington asked Tehran not to retaliate. Iran said no. Peter walks through why the MOAB can only be dropped from a slow MC-130, which means it cannot be used without Iran’s permission, and why the fallback being floated, strikes on energy infrastructure, is more dangerous than the bomb itself. Meanwhile Hormuz is mined, ships are sinking, UKMTO admits it is undercounting hits, and Egypt is lining up beside Pakistan and Turkey to guard MBS.Charlie puts the odds of a full US and Israeli strike at 95 percent within weeks, either before the Israeli election or right after the midterms. Peter refuses to put a number on it but calls it a very real risk. Plus a bonus question on the St. Petersburg drone attack that flew through Polish and Baltic airspace.00:00 Trump dumps Ukraine on Europe to focus on the Middle East00:46 The diesel deal and Europe’s howls of rage05:41 Europe enters winter with half its gas gone06:43 Starlink, intelligence sharing, and why rapprochement is impossible11:29 Macron at 15 percent: is France the start of a revolution?17:24 What could Ukraine do to Europe if abandoned?21:08 Ukraine and Israel: two regimes with impunity28:02 Militarism without a military: the nuclear temptation29:49 Iran said no to the MOAB33:06 Trump endorses Netanyahu to finish the job35:38 Egypt joins Pakistan and Turkey guarding MBS40:25 Mines in Hormuz and ships going down46:50 Why are the markets so calm?50:53 Charlie says 95 percent. Peter won’t bet.55:29 St. Petersburg drones flew through NATO airspaceGo Deeper: https://ruinsreport.com/Substack: https://conversationsamongtheruins.substack.com/Support the Conversation:Join as a Member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW9CSfmP6gEjqtOdGTD_JKw/joinBuy Me a Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/amongtheruinsFollow us:X: https://x.com/RuinsReportInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/conversationsamongtheruins/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@amongtheruins

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