Angie Nixon was outspent 16 to 1 and won Florida anyway. Brian Derrick breaks down what the establishment missed, and Alaska's Parent Trap problem with two Dan Sullivans on the ballot.

Angie Nixon beat Alexander Vindman with 56 percent in the Democratic primary for Florida's Senate special election, the race to finish Marco Rubio's term through 2028. Brian's read is that the prognosticators missed a state legislator who physically showed up for every fight in Florida while a creator ecosystem amplified her all year. Sabato's Crystal Ball moved the race to safe Republican the next morning. Oath has not. She faces Ashley Moody in November.

In Alaska, Mary Peltola finished as the top vote-getter ahead of incumbent Dan Sullivan, and there is a second Dan Sullivan on that ballot, a former fifth grade teacher running as a Republican who pulled about 2.5 percent. Republicans tried to strike his name. The courts said no.

Then Brian gives the full midterm TLDR. The four Senate seats Democrats need and the order they are likeliest to come in. Why the House is the must-win. The 36 governor's races, from David Crowley in Wisconsin to Amy Acton in Ohio. And the part of the ballot almost nobody talks about: attorneys general, secretaries of state, and state supreme courts. Kris Mayes won Arizona by 280 votes out of 2.5 million. That is the whole point.

Also: Comment Crossfire debuts, where Glennis Meagher answers the DSA members who said that criticizing Megan Romer's New Yorker Radio Hour interview was doing Republicans' work for them. Plus Clickbait or Double-Click this week gets into Zohran Mamdani promoting free Broadway tickets in four languages and the MAGA meltdown it created, Nancy Mace showing off her new tats and YouTube show on her way out of Congress, and the $900MIL White House construction bill. Last but not least, of course, we haveg a Good Vibe Goodbye starring the disgusting Cory Mills losing his primary.

And The Oath Candidate of the Week is choose your own adventure. Go to oath.vote/states, find a competitive race in your state, and get behind somebody.

New episodes of Vibes Only are available for download first thing every Thursday morning! Hit that FOLLOW and we'll keep you informed for the midterms.

EPISODE RESOURCES/LINKS

The Oath Candidate of the Week

Primary Results - The New York Times

Clickbait or Double-Click 1: Psaki questions Ossoff on White House aide remark - The Hill

Clickbait or Double-Click 2: Zohran Mamdani’s viral new campaigns in Mandarin, Bengali and Spanish wins hearts: ‘Bro’s collecting languages like Pokémon’ - The Independent

Clickbait or Double-Click 3: Trump administration set to spend at least $900 million on White House construction - The Washington Post

Good Vibe Goodbye: Embattled incumbent Cory Mills ousted in Florida primary - POLITICO

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