INVESTOR ALERT: Is The Real Estate Market On The Verge Of Recession Or Recovery?

Paul Mark Morris argues the housing market is not heading for a 2026 crash, pointing to existing home sales rising 3.2% in May to a 4.17M annual pace (highest since December), with gains across most regions and first-time buyers at 35%, while prices keep climbing due to tight supply (about 4.5 months) and improved affordability (index 105.6). He explains mortgage rates remain stable around 6.5% despite expectations the Fed won’t cut in July, and highlights a surprising divergence: despite US-Iran strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, oil and gas prices are falling, easing inflation pressure. He also breaks down the proposed 21st Century Road to Housing Act, which would cap large institutional investors (350+ homes) from buying more single-family homes, potentially reducing competition for small investors, and outlines regional shifts with Sun Belt cooling and Midwest/Northeast strengthening.

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Timestamps 00:00:00 War Headlines Divergence 00:00:48 Show Intro Disclaimers 00:01:42 No 2026 Housing Crash 00:02:20 Sales Demand Rebound 00:04:49 Prices Supply Affordability 00:10:30 Mortgage Rates Reality 00:12:43 Fed Cuts And Mortgages 00:14:43 War Oil Gas Twist 00:18:38 Investor Cap Housing Bill 00:23:54 Hottest Coldest Markets 00:29:03 Luxury Market Signal 00:32:01 Three Moves Next 90 00:35:06 Wrap Up/Disclaimer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices